Modeling the dynamics of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) via stochastic epidemic model

(چکیده مقاله) :
Abstract :

In this article we propose a stochastic model to discuss the dynamics of novel corona virus disease. We formulate the model to study the long run behavior in varying population environment. For this purposes we divided the total human population into three epidemiological compartments: the susceptible, covid-19 infected, recovered and recovered along with one class of reservoir. The existence and uniqueness of the newly formulated model will be studied to show the well-possedness of the model. Moreover, we investigate the extinction analysis as well as the persistence analysis to find the disease extinction and disease persistence conditions. At the end we perform simulation to justify the investigation of analytical work with the help of graphical representations.

(توضیحات تکمیلی) :

(توضیحات تکمیلی) :
Description :

مقاله ISI انگلیسی اصلی
سال انتشار: 2021
فایل ISI انگلیسی اصلی ، با فرمت Pdf
تعداد صفحات فایل ISI انگلیسی اصلی: 19 صفحه

Authors / Descriptions(نویسندگان/توضیحات): مقاله ISI سال انتشار: 2021 / نویسندگان: Tahir Khan, Gul Zaman, Youssef El Khatib
Sent date(تاریخ ارسال) : 1400/01/12  |   4/1/2021
Number of visits(تعداد بازدید): 590
Key words (کلمات کلیدی): COVID-19 , Stochastic model , Existence and uniqueness analysis, Extinction as well as persistence , Simulation
Number of pages(تعداد صفحات) : 19
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